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The weekly briefing, 15 March 2018: UK announces modest retaliatory measures against Russia, Turkish forces surround YPG-controlled Afrin city in northern Syria, Palestinian prime minister targeted in roadside bomb attack

Underreported political and security risk updates from around the world, including events in Burkina Faso, Sierra Leone, United States, Panama, Singapore, Nepal, United Kingdom, Syria and Palestine.

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The weekly briefing, 25 October 2016: coup plot foiled in Burkina Faso, anti-US protests in Philippines turn violent, operation to retake Mosul makes good progress

Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: coup plot in Burkina Faso foiled by government security forces; anti-US protests in Philippines turn violent after police crackdown; anti-IS forces make good progress in operation to retake Mosul; and more.

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A complex transition to power is in the making in Burkina Faso

Blaise Compaoré’s departure after 27 years at the helm of Burkina Faso was the result of a show of popular resilience and strength. However, the immediate aftermath of this event raises some doubts over whether anything will change at all. While Compaoré resigned due to the popular protests and the anti-establishment violence that ensued, the revolution in Burkina Faso seems to have been hijacked by the military.

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Press release: Civil society intelligence agency releases forecasts for insecurity and conflict in West Africa in 2014

Open Briefing has today published the first of three synthesis reports from a major study forecasting insecurity and conflict in Africa in 2014. The report focusses on those countries of West Africa whose drivers and internal volatility are likely to create substantial levels of insecurity and conflict over 2014: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone.

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West Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014

Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.

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