This report examines the effectiveness of the use of remote warfare by the Nigerian government, its regional allies and Western states to counter the threat of Boko Haram. Our analysis shows that the operations have encouraged the factional forces of the insurgency to metastasise, build resilience and craft new tactics.
Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: Catalonia’s president claims region has won right to statehood following unofficial independence referendum; security forces kill demonstrators during independence protests in English-speaking parts of Cameroon; relations between Iraqi Kurdistan and Baghdad continue to deteriorate following independence referendum; and more.
The second of five monthly intelligence briefings on the Boko Haram insurgency being prepared for the Remote Control Project. This briefing summarises and analyses the main international developments, the actions of US and European partners, the actions of local governments and coalitions, and the various Boko Haram operations over the previous month.
The first of five monthly intelligence briefings on the Boko Haram insurgency being prepared for the Remote Control Project. This briefing summarises and analyses the main international developments, the actions of US and European partners, the actions of local governments and coalitions, and the various Boko Haram operations over the previous month.
The United States, France and other powers are quietly carrying out remote warfare in the form of drone operations and special forces deployments in support of Nigerian and regional coalition efforts against Boko Haram. Open Briefing is launching a new project that will detail our assessment of key developments in the operations and the evolving nature and effectiveness of the complex coalitions against Boko Haram.
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. Calls for Pakistani prime minister to resign as violent clashes continue, West warns Russia of heightened economic sanctions following incursion of Russian armed forces into eastern Ukraine, al-Nusra Front holds Fijian peacekeepers hostage in Syrian side of Golan Heights, and more.
Open Briefing has today published the first of three synthesis reports from a major study forecasting insecurity and conflict in Africa in 2014. The report focusses on those countries of West Africa whose drivers and internal volatility are likely to create substantial levels of insecurity and conflict over 2014: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone.
Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.