Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: four UN peacekeepers killed in two separate attacks in northern Mali; political turmoil engulfs the US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau as Trump attempts to appoint loyalist as acting director; militants kill over 300 people in bomb and gun attack on mosque in northern Sinai province; and more.
Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: Potentially-orchestrated leaks suggest US government considering troop surge in Afghanistan; tensions escalate along Indian-Pakistani border after Indian Army accuses Pakistani troops of killing two soldiers in Kashmir; Tunisian security forces disrupt alleged plot to carry out terrorist attacks during upcoming holy month of Ramadan; and more.
Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: right-wing nationalist candidate and social liberal candidate likely to win first round of French presidential election in April; hearings begin at The Hague in Ukrainian suit against Russia; US president accuses predecessor of ordering wiretapping of his phone during presidential election; and more.
Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: Donald Trump assembles transition team and announces controversial appointments and nominations to key posts; airstrikes by Saudi-led coalition forces continue in Yemen despite 48-hour ceasefire; controversial power-sharing agreement extending presidents term until 2018 comes into effect in DR Congo; and more.
Political and security risk updates from Open Briefing and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. This month: increasing pressure from United States risks China hastening land reclamation projects to cement territorial claims in South China Sea; Hungary’s far-right party on the rise; Syrian rebels make significant gains in government territory but Islamic State poses looming threat; and more.
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Mali peace talks begin in Algiers as French military operation in Sahel region expands, Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 shot down over eastern Ukraine, Asian icebreakers move into the Arctic, and more.
Open Briefing has today published the first of three synthesis reports from a major study forecasting insecurity and conflict in Africa in 2014. The report focusses on those countries of West Africa whose drivers and internal volatility are likely to create substantial levels of insecurity and conflict over 2014: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone.
Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.