For the past six months, Open Briefing's Africa desk has been developing forecasts for insecurity and conflict in Africa over 2014. They have today published the synthesis report for Southern Africa, covering: Angola, Botswana, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Some narratives have painted Southern Africa as a region largely absent of conflict and insecurity. In reality, instability persists beneath the surface due to corruption and inequitable settlements following independence or struggles for national liberation. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for 10 Southern African countries over 2014.
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Renamo adopts a more flexible approach to dialogue in Mozambique, Ukrainian government grants concessions to the opposition, Shell calls off Arctic oil exploration, and more.
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Municipal elections in Venezuela strengthen President Nicolás Maduro’s authority, recent purge is most significant North Korean political upheaval since Kim Jong-il’s death, Canada’s North Pole claim elicits aggressive responses, and more.