For the past six months, Open Briefing's Africa desk has been developing forecasts for insecurity and conflict in Africa over 2014. They have today published the synthesis report for Southern Africa, covering: Angola, Botswana, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Tag: Nick Branson
Southern Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014
Some narratives have painted Southern Africa as a region largely absent of conflict and insecurity. In reality, instability persists beneath the surface due to corruption and inequitable settlements following independence or struggles for national liberation. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for 10 Southern African countries over 2014.
Press release: Forecasts for the Central African Republic and three other countries released by civil society intelligence agency
The violence in the Central African Republic is currently dominating news headlines, as have events in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in the past. A timely new study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in Central Africa.
Central Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014
The conflicts that have devastated Central Africa have created a profound level of instability, cycles of repeat violence and a ‘bad neighbourhood’ from which its members have no recourse, particularly landlocked states. Given the high levels of poverty and lack of opportunity, the outlook for much of the region looks bleak. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for four Central African countries over 2014.