Political and security risk updates from Open Briefing and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. This month: summit of the Americas will test US relations with Cuba and Venezuela; relations between China and Myanmar sour as conflict with Kokang rebels continues; Iran and P5+1 reach outline agreement on Tehran’s controversial nuclear programme; and more.
The monthly briefing, March 2015: Philippines military engages militant Islamist groups, Hungary balancing between the East and West, fighting continues for control of key Syrian cities
Monthly briefing on political and security developments around the world. This month: Philippines military engages in large-scale offensives against militant Islamist groups; Hungary balancing between the East and West as prime minister seeks strong political ties with Russia; fighting continues for control of key Syrian cities as Islamic State kidnaps hundreds of Assyrian Christians; and more.
The monthly briefing, January 2015: Ongoing operations against al-Shabaab in Somalia reach pivotal phase, attacks in Paris risk further polarising French populace, Yemen’s security situation continues to deteriorate
Monthly briefing on political and security developments around the world. This month: ongoing operations against al-Shabaab in Somalia reach pivotal phase; attacks in Paris risk further polarising French populace and increasing prejudices against Muslims; Yemen’s security situation continues to deteriorate following number of violent incidents and kidnappings; and more.
Stalled hope? The resource conflict risk to Myanmar’s political and economic transition
In 2011, Myanmar's quasi-civilian government initiated one of the most ambitious economic and political transformation campaigns of the last 50 years. The reformist agenda has the potential to steer Myanmar away from insecurity and economic stagnation. But it will be difficult to leverage significant endowments of natural resources to achieve sustainable security, lasting political settlements with ethnic states and economic growth that supports human development. As such, this briefing paper assesses the trajectory and significance of resource conflict risks and threat multipliers in Myanmar.
Key international developments for 2014
In December 2013 and January 2014, analysts from the Open Briefing intelligence unit reviewed the key international developments likely to occur over 2014. This briefing covers ten of these developments, including Russian military build-up in the Arctic, a stalled Myanmar transition, an uncertain future in Syria and civil unrest in Angola.
The weekly briefing, 21 October 2013
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence desks. Includes Al-Shabaab's video threat against British Muslim leaders and the string of bombings that threatens Burma’s reformist efforts.