Underreported political and security risk updates from around the world, including events in DR Congo, Zimbabwe, United States, Ecuador, South Korea, China, United Kingdom, Slovakia, Israel and Qatar.
China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a vision to parlay large-scale economic dynamism into a foreign policy projecting Chinese influence overseas in the name of development. If the its promise of mutual prosperity and development is to be more than the sum of its parts, its stabilising effect on the Middle East would be a major litmus test. The momentum may come from Beijing, but smaller countries like Israel can and must shape it.
Political and security risk updates from around the world. This week: Donald Trump sworn in as 45th US president amid protests and controversy; Chilean government declares state of emergency as it exhausts capacity to respond to forest fires; Yahya Jammeh leaves the Gambia as new president sworn in; and more.
To understand the Islamic Republic we need to not look not at its consistencies but at its 'adjustments'. Iran has now placed a premium on maximising both influence and soft power, constantly renegotiating its margins of maneuver and seeking situations of strength where possible. Whatever hard power it still holds, it has repurposed into tools of deterrence in order to hold its enemies hostage against the threat of regime decapitation and war.
Political and security risk updates from Open Briefing and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. This month: summit of the Americas will test US relations with Cuba and Venezuela; relations between China and Myanmar sour as conflict with Kokang rebels continues; Iran and P5+1 reach outline agreement on Tehran’s controversial nuclear programme; and more.
After a last minute electoral upset, Israeli Prime Minster Benyamin Netanyahu will almost certainly form a new government. What does a fourth term for Bibi mean for Israel, Palestine and the wider region?
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. Calls for Pakistani prime minister to resign as violent clashes continue, West warns Russia of heightened economic sanctions following incursion of Russian armed forces into eastern Ukraine, al-Nusra Front holds Fijian peacekeepers hostage in Syrian side of Golan Heights, and more.
Monthly briefing from the Open Briefing intelligence unit on developments in remote-control warfare. This month: increasing number of mercenaries in foreign conflicts from Balkans region; state and non-state hacker groups launch cyber attacks on Israel in response to Operation Protective Edge; US officials grapple with political and economic costs of NSA’s surveillance activities; and more.