The violence in the Central African Republic is currently dominating news headlines, as have events in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in the past. A timely new study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in Central Africa.
The conflicts that have devastated Central Africa have created a profound level of instability, cycles of repeat violence and a ‘bad neighbourhood’ from which its members have no recourse, particularly landlocked states. Given the high levels of poverty and lack of opportunity, the outlook for much of the region looks bleak. This study from Open Briefing provides forecasts for four Central African countries over 2014.
Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence desks. Includes the surrender of the M23 rebel group in DRC and the landmark agreement reached between the Colombian government and FARC over the left-wing guerrilla group's political participation.