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West Africa: Forecasts for insecurity and conflict in 2014

Some narratives have painted West Africa as a region where conflict and insecurity occur naturally due to ethnic tensions and porous borders. In reality, the underlying sources and drivers of instability are critical to understanding events. This study from Open Briefing attempts to avoid generalisations by analysing specific factors and identifying forecasts for individual countries in the region.

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Key international developments for 2014

In December 2013 and January 2014, analysts from the Open Briefing intelligence unit reviewed the key international developments likely to occur over 2014. This briefing covers ten of these developments, including Russian military build-up in the Arctic, a stalled Myanmar transition, an uncertain future in Syria and civil unrest in Angola.

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The weekly briefing, 2 December 2013

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Nigerian Army kills Boko Haram fighters in air strike, political divisions reopen in Thailand, Iran and the P5+1 reach agreement, and more.

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