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The weekly briefing, 1 September 2014 – Calls for Pakistani prime minister to resign, West warns Russia of heightened sanctions, al-Nusra Front holds Fijian peacekeepers hostage, and more

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit and Bradburys Global Risk Partners. Calls for Pakistani prime minister to resign as violent clashes continue, West warns Russia of heightened economic sanctions following incursion of Russian armed forces into eastern Ukraine, al-Nusra Front holds Fijian peacekeepers hostage in Syrian side of Golan Heights, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 28 July 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. United States to consider limited refugee programme in Central America amid immigration emergency, European Union scales up economic sanctions against Russia, international efforts to secure ceasefire between Israel and Hamas continue as death toll tops 1,000, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 14 July 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. German chancellor expels CIA station chief in Berlin as further US spying activities uncovered, Palestinian death toll rises as Israel continues military offensive against the Gaza Strip, threefold increase in Russian strategic bomber flights over Arctic Ocean, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 9 June 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Hundreds killed in village raids as Boko Haram tightens grip on northeast Nigeria, Philippine intelligence suggests China has begun reclaiming contested land in South China Sea, violence flares in Houthi rebellion in northern Yemen, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 19 May 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. African leaders declare war on Boko Haram, end of winter in Afghanistan marks beginning of Taliban’s spring offensive, Western sanctions threaten Russian Arctic development, and more.

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The weekly briefing, 12 May 2014

Political and security risk updates from the Open Briefing intelligence unit. Surprise winner in Panama’s presidential election heralds new era for the country, tensions in Thailand reach new high as prime minister ousted from office, Finland strengthens relationship with Sweden and NATO amid increasing fears of Russian expansionism, and more.

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Maritime insecurity in the Gulf of Guinea

The Gulf of Guinea, off the south coast of West Africa, has recently surpassed the more infamous Gulf of Aden, off the coast of Somalia in East Africa, as the epicentre of maritime insecurity. This intelligence brief explores the drivers of the problem and the complex nature of the challenges and possible responses, and sets out forecasts for maritime insecurity in the region in 2014.

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Press release: Civil society intelligence agency releases forecasts for insecurity and conflict in West Africa in 2014

Open Briefing has today published the first of three synthesis reports from a major study forecasting insecurity and conflict in Africa in 2014. The report focusses on those countries of West Africa whose drivers and internal volatility are likely to create substantial levels of insecurity and conflict over 2014: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone.

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